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2024-12-14 12:40:12

Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut in December.In November, the CPI of the United States hit its biggest increase in seven months, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates next week. The consumer price index of the United States recorded its biggest increase in seven months in November, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates for the third time next week in the context of the cooling job market. Data show that CPI rose by 0.3% last month, the biggest increase since April, after the index rose by 0.2% for four consecutive months. The year-on-year growth rate of CPI rose by 2.7% after rising by 2.6% in October. Compared with the peak of 9.1% in June 2022, the year-on-year growth rate of inflation has slowed down significantly. Nevertheless, in recent months, the process of reducing the inflation rate to the Fed's 2% target has actually stalled. However, the Fed is now more concerned about the labor market. Although employment growth accelerated in November after being severely disturbed by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate accelerated to 4.2% after staying at 4.1% for two consecutive months.The foreign exchange index of emerging markets reversed the previous decline.


The further rebound of CPI in the United States is in line with market expectations. The annual rate of CPI in the United States in November was 2.7%, which was expected to be 2.7% and the previous value was 2.60%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly CPI rate is 0.3%, expected 0.3%, and the previous value is 0.20%. The annual rate of core CPI in the United States in November was not seasonally adjusted to 3.3%, which was expected to be 3.3% and the previous value was 3.30%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly rate of core CPI is 0.3%, the expected rate is 0.30%, and the previous value is 0.30%.Analyst Kaye: Consumer energy prices rose slightly month by month in November, but dropped by more than 3% compared with the same period last year. The prices of all kinds of gasoline dropped by more than 8% year-on-year. According to the data of the Automobile Club of the American Automobile Association, the average price of gas stations has been falling in recent weeks, approaching the threshold of $3 per gallon.Guang' an Aizhong: The company's stock price has been up and down for many days, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Guang' an Aizhong issued a change announcement. On December 11, 2024, the company's stock turnover rate was 11.73%, with a turnover of 919 million yuan. Since November 21, 2024, the company's stock has experienced a daily limit of 9 trading days, with a cumulative turnover rate of 257.64%. In view of the daily limit of the company's stock price for many days, but the company's fundamentals have not changed significantly, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Investors are advised to make rational decisions and invest cautiously.


ExxonMobil Oil: US President-elect Trump will bring good prospects to the US oil and gas industry. Support US President-elect Trump to repair the "broken" licensing system in the US energy field.Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: It is still a consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. JOSH HIRT, a senior American economist at VANGUARD, said: "The US CPI data in November confirmed the market consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. We are still paying close attention to the strength of the labor market and the potential inflationary stickiness of some components of inflation (housing and services) before 2025. "Macy's fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors.

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